As the Liberal Party’s leadership circus pitches its tent on the edge of irrelevance, the real drama isn’t who wins, it’s whether Australia can afford the show at all. From the Cayman-stained ledgers of Angus Taylor to Andrew Hastie’s heretical hard-hat protectionism, the contest for the Liberal crown isn’t just about power. It’s about whether a party built for the 20th century can even pretend to navigate the 21st. And if Sussan Ley is being pushed off a glass cliff, it’s not just a gendered sacrifice; it’s a masterclass in political self-immolation.
The Sideshow and the Shadow: A Party Unmoored
The Australian political landscape is now a high-stakes circus where the safety nets have been cut and the clowns are carrying tactical gear. Between the grit, grime, and dust of Western Australian mine sites and the offshore breezes of the Cayman Islands, the Liberal Party isn’t just searching for a leader; it’s auditioning for a role in a world where terms of trade, sovereignty and justice are all up for grabs. It’s a world held hostage to a fool who will say or do anything backed by ruthless techno-fascists.
Robert Reich, the former US Labor Secretary and acerbic critic of the “oligarchy,” has seen this storm coming for years. His view of the current era, which he calls “Year One of Trumpism”, is that the world isn’t just facing a change in policy, but a “threat to civilisation itself.”
Reich’s perspective can be distilled into three damning observations:
The Death of the “Global Adult”
Reich argues that we have moved from a world of “rules” to a world of “unfettered might.” He previously assumed that the 21st century would be too complex for any one person to hold the world hostage. He has since admitted he was wrong:
“I assumed that civilization would never again be held hostage by crazy, isolated men with the power to wreak havoc… Trump has convinced me I was mistaken.”
To Reich, Trump is the “unaccountable agent” who has replaced the “Pax Americana” with a “transactional chaos”where alliances are treated like accounts payable departments.
2. The “Hostage” Economy
Reich often describes the global financial system as being held hostage to “wanton gambling” and billionaire whims. In the current context, he sees Trump as the ultimate oligarch who has “fused public power with personal wealth.”
He argues that Trump doesn’t just use tariffs as economic tools; he uses them as extortion notes to force fealty from both allies and corporations.
Reich characterises the global elite (like those at Davos) as “complicit” if they don’t denounce this “tyrannous assault on international laws.”
3. The “Boil” Theory
Perhaps most strikingly, Reich uses a visceral metaphor for this era: he compares the rise of authoritarianism to a “pus-filled boil.”
“The only way we work up enough outrage to lance it… is for the boil to get so big and ugly that it disgusts all of us.”
For Reich, the current world-without-guardrails is that “big and ugly” moment. He believes that only when the suffering becomes undeniable will the “backlash” occur to take back power from the oligarchy.
The Australian Link
Reich’s “Boil Theory” is just what Andrew Hastie is banking on. While Labor tries to keep the “boil” covered with the bandages of AUKUS and “rules-based order” rhetoric, Hastie, the heretic in the hard hat, is essentially calling for the lance. He’s betting that the “suffering” Reich predicts is exactly what will drive Australians toward his brand of sovereign protectionism.
But at the centre of the ring, the “Liberal leadership circus” is in full swing, a chaotic tableau of personal baggage and ideological rot. Andrew “Handy Andy” Hastie, the ex-SAS commando from the mining-captured “Sandgroper” state, where you need a hi-vis vest and a hard hat just to check your emails, is peddling a vision of sovereign industry that’s as nostalgic as it is delusional.
Angus “Air Miles” Taylor, meanwhile, remains shadowed by the Cayman-flagged ghosts of 2017 and an $80 million water rights windfall for his family’s interests—a deal Barnaby-approved and forever stained by the optics of offshore graft.
And then there’s Sussan Ley, currently clinging to the mast as the Coalition implodes, her “unity” pitch crumbling after a dramatic National Party defection over hate-speech legislation, leaving her to lead a Liberal rump that the Nats no longer feel bound to follow.
While the media gleefully tracks the internal bickering and David Littleproud’s demand for Ley’s head on a plate, these are merely distractions from a deeper unravelling. The Liberal Party’s crisis isn’t about personalities; it’s about the collapse of a worldview, and the absurdity of pretending that Australia can simply will its way back to manufacturing glory in a global economy rigged against it.
The Trumpian Torch and the AUKUS Trap: Australia’s Vassal Status
The global order isn’t just shifting; it’s being incinerated. Donald Trump’s second act has torched the post-WWII stability that everyone pretended was eternal. While middle powers like Canada huddle in multilateral corners and Europe prepares to punch back, Australia remains frozen, its foreign policy a hostage to the AUKUS pact and the whims of a bully that no longer even pretends to play by the rules. Labor continues to chant the old “rules-based order” mantra, even as AUKUS locks us into a “vassal status”. With northern bases for US Marines and the Royal Australian Navy’s future subs on an American leash, there is no off-ramp when the hegemon “freelances” into a conflict over Iran or Taiwan. We have traded autonomy for capabilities that may simply invite the very threats they purport to deter.
In this void, Andrew Hastie has emerged as a disruptive force; a heretic in a hard hat, the son of a Presbyterian minister, challenging the Liberal Party’s very neoliberal theology. But his vision of a “sovereign industrial base” is less a roadmap than a fantasy, a desperate grasp at a past that global capitalism has already dismantled.
Hastie: The Heretic in a Hard Hat
For forty years, the Liberal Party worshipped at the altar of the free market. But Hastie is flipping the tables. He mocks colleagues clutching “dog-eared copies of Hayek,” arguing that a nation that cannot build “complex things” is a nation that cannot defend itself. Yet his protectionist populism is less a serious economic strategy than a political Hail Mary, a bid to outflank Labor on the very turf Albanese claims as his own.
Hastie’s vision is a direct rebuke to the neoliberal orthodoxy that has defined the Liberal Party since the 1980s. While Angus Taylor represents the technocratic drift of global capital, where efficiency is king and sovereignty is a quaint relic, Hastie advocates for a “sovereign industrial base.”
He views refineries and car manufacturing not just as GDP line items, but as “strategic weight.” The problem? The global supply chains he fears are the same ones that have already gutted Australia’s manufacturing sector. His “patriot cred” lets him voice truths Labor dares not touch, but his prescription?Reviving industries long since offshored is pure nostalgia, a bark at shadows.
The Ideological Collision Hastie’s protectionism isn’t just a policy shift; it’s a cultural revolt. He probes the alliance’s fine print, questioning our “freedom of action” within AUKUS. As Crikey’s Bernard Keane notes, this stance lands him closer to the realism of independent critics than the denialism of the Canberra bubble. But realism doesn’t pay the bills; or win elections.
The Sovereign Realist Ironically, Hastie’s “patriot cred” lets him voice truths Labor dares not touch. He probes the alliance’s fine print, questioning our “freedom of action” within AUKUS. But his “sovereign industrial base” isn’t about job creation in the traditional sense, it’s about strategic weight. He views a country that can’t build its own cars or refine its own fuel as a country that has already surrendered its sovereignty before the first shot is fired. The catch? The horses bolted decades ago.
The Candidate, The Brand, The Risk
| Candidate | The Brand | The Economic Soul | The Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hastie | SAS/Hard Hat | Protectionist: “Economic security is national security.” | Alienates the “Teal” centre and Gen Z. |
| Taylor | Technocrat/Elite | Globalist: Free markets and offshore efficiency. | Haunted by “Cayman ghosts” and water rorts. |
| Ley | Managerial/Moderate | Pragmatist: Clinging to a “rules-based” status quo. | First woman leader dumped? |
Empire’s End, Liberals’ Fork: The Coalition’s Existential Crisis
The Coalition is fracturing while the “new disorder” smokes. The Nationals are already chasing One Nation voters, dumping Net Zero and rebelling against executive overreach in new “hate-speech” law. Ley’s rebrand/rebadge is stalling on climate and gender quotas, but dumping her risks a permanent Teal resurgence.
Yet Hastie offers a generational shift, a “National Conservative” pivot that targets the “fibro-and-mortgage belts” of the outer suburbs. He is betting that in a world of supply chain collapses and Trumpian tariffs, voters aren’t looking for a “steady hand” to manage the decline. They’re looking for someone who acknowledges the cliff’s edge. Pity his prescription is pie in the sky.
Hastie’s manufacturing creed doesn’t come from a textbook on economics; it comes from a bunker. His “sovereign industrial base” isn’t about job creation, it’s about strategic weight. He looks at global supply chains and sees “chokepoints.” But the reality is that Australia’s manufacturing sector isn’t just wounded. It’s been euthanised by decades of neoliberal policy. His vision is less a plan than a eulogy.
The Source of the Creed Hastie’s philosophy is a cocktail of three distinct influences:
Military Realism: As an ex-SAS captain, his worldview is shaped by the “Primacy of Security.” He looks at global supply chains and sees “chokepoints.”
Abraham Kuyper’s “Sphere Sovereignty”: His faith meets his politics in the belief that every “sphere” of life (business, family, government) has its own internal authority. To Hastie, a “sovereign manufacturer” isn’t just a business owner; they are the steward of a vital national organ.
Delusion: The idea that Australia can simply rebuild what global capitalism has dismantled is a fantasy, a political fairy tale for an era of decline.
The Glass Cliff: Ley’s Gendered Sacrifice
Sussan Ley’s leadership isn’t just precarious. It’s a setup. The Liberal Party, facing electoral oblivion, is pushing her off a glass cliff, setting her up to fail in a way that will hardly endear them to half the population. If Ley is dumped, it won’t just be a leadership change; it’ll be a gendered sacrifice, a final nail in the coffin of the Liberals’ Boys Club already shaky claim to modernity let alone equality.
The Dog-and-Pony Show: What’s Really at Stake
The leadership contest is a sideshow. The real question is whether Australia can afford to remain a spectator in its own future. Hastie, for all his flaws, glimpses this more clearly than Labor dares admit. But his protectionist populism is a dead end, a bark at shadows in a world where the game is already rigged.
Urban Wronski Writes 