Sara Shariatmadar was six years old. She went to school on Saturday morning and did not come home. At least 108 girls died — the governor says 148— when US and Israeli munitions struck the Shajareh Tayyebeh elementary school in Minab, Iran. International humanitarian law is unambiguous. This is a war crime. The perpetrators should be indicted.
Trump says the United States is “locked and loaded.” Israel has Operation Iron
Strike sitting authorised on a shelf. Yet the second blow on Iran hasn’t
landed — and the reason is written not in diplomatic fine print but in depleted
missile stockpiles and the darkening arithmetic of a CRINK alliance that neither
Washington nor Tel Aviv knows how to break. Vulnerability, not virtue, is
driving the pause.
America isn’t collapsing with a bang — it’s being edged out with a yawn. A soft failure: a lukewarm bond auction, a throttled military network, and a world quietly building payment rails that make Washington optional. Australia, naturally, keeps paddling.
The next war with Iran won’t be sold as a war at all. It will be framed as a “limited strike” to reassure markets that the old rules still apply: some countries can be bombed and sanctioned at will, others never meaningfully challenged. Oil, empire, and capital will dance. Civilians will pay.
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